Comments on: Hype Meter

By: rosicknote

rosicknote — Tue, 05 Jan 2010 19:05:32 +0000

I think the ‘expected’ points shouldn’t just be judged based on your gut feelings, but rather on statistics. If you are bothered enough, try to gather our results from previous matches with the teams.

Don’t think i’m articulating it well enough.

For example, the last 7 matches at Old Trafford, on average, let’s say we have only managed to get 1 point there. Therefore, the expected points should be 1 for Manure vs Arsenal fixture. Do this for other teams, and you’ll get a more realistic expected points.

Also, it’d be interesting to see whether our title winning seasons matched the hype meter, or came close to 100%. I think during the Invincibles era, I’d be unsurprised if it was more than 100%, i.e actual points were more than the expected points.

Sorry, I did quantitative subjects during my uni years, hence some of the language used are a bit …. sophisticiated.

By: Jammathon

Jammathon — Thu, 31 Dec 2009 11:03:43 +0000

The second link in the article:

http://www.third-gen.com/2009/06/17/month-by-month-fixture-analysis-arsenal-could-storm-200910/

Also, if you add up all the ‘expected’, you get 96. Almost deliberately over-optimistic. But heck, we’re making a fist of it.

By: rosicknote

rosicknote — Thu, 31 Dec 2009 10:40:51 +0000

“85 points over 96 is 88.5 per cent.”

Where did you get that figure 96 from?

By: Arsenal's Hype Meter in trouble + THERE'S REAL FOOTBALL TOMORROW!!!! | Third-Gen

Fri, 20 Nov 2009 10:07:31 +0000

[...] Hype Meter [...]

By: Jammathon

Jammathon — Wed, 11 Nov 2009 22:48:19 +0000

I’m glad someone finally noticed, Suhas . After putting that list of predictions together, I realised I hadn’t predicted a single loss. So I put Shite Hart Lane in there as a bit of a pisstake. It’s mostly down to my fear that one day – —one day—- we’ll finally lose a league game to the Scum. It took Wenger more than a decade to lose to a Championship side (Burnley, last season), so maybe even longer for an even worse team?

By: Suhas

Suhas — Tue, 10 Nov 2009 07:10:05 +0000

Hey , good job !
this is something unique u have done , and its quite realistic !
Only complaint I have is for Sp**s away game , u expect 0 ?.
I expect nothing less than f*ing 3 points after our performance at home !!!

By: I don't give a jot about 100 goals + who's laughing now, Man United? | Third-Gen

Mon, 09 Nov 2009 11:39:22 +0000

[...] gathered a bit of pace and I’m sure I’m not the only one uncomfortable with too much hype. I’d rather this team just knuckle down and keep doing the good things they’ve done so [...]

By: The complete November preview - everything an Arsenal fan could need | Third-Gen

Mon, 02 Nov 2009 09:50:37 +0000

[...] far, so very good this season. As you can see by even the hopelessly-optimistic Hype Meter©®™ has Arsenal at ‘100%’ – on track for a title-tilt. Our losses at [...]

By: Wenger wants a trophy? This is what you do, Arsenal | third-gen

Wenger wants a trophy? This is what you do, Arsenal | third-gen — Fri, 23 Oct 2009 13:46:33 +0000

[...] Nothing we haven’t heard before, but it’s funny how it’s gotten more and more believable as time as worn on. This all despite two losses up in Manchester, and the outlook appears rather rosy. Sure, it’s only 8 games, but you look at even the most wildly optimistic speculated points tally before the season, and surprisingly, we remain on track. [...]